Prop Firm Challenge Pass Simulator: Your Odds of Passing FTMO, The5ers, FundedNext, FundingPips

Challenge pass simulator

Type your win rate, your average win in R and your risk per trade. The simulator plays 10,000 challenges with your prop's real limits and shows how many you pass, how the others fail, and which risk per trade gives your numbers the best chance.

Prop firm and program

Win rate, %

Average win, in R (1.5 = wins are 1.5× the risk)

Risk per trade, % of account

Trades per day (average)

Advanced: rules and limits

Profit target per phase, %

Trading days per phase (you give up after)

Daily loss %

Max loss %

Daily limit measured from

Max loss

Your own rule: stop for the day after this many losses (0 = no rule)

Assumptions: every trade risks the same amount and the stop is hit exactly (no slippage or gaps); trades are independent; minimum trading days and consistency rules are not modelled. Your dashboard and your real history are the final word.

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Passed Daily loss Max loss Out of days

Typical time to pass (median of the passed ones)

Average result per trade

One rule: skip any trade whose full stop would touch today's floor

As you trade now

With the rule

What this pass rate costs you

Same numbers, different risk

Your win rate and R:R stay the same; only the risk per trade changes. 4,000 challenges per row.

Risk per trade	Pass rate	Median days	Main way to fail

Not sure of your real win rate and R?

Your trade history knows. The free check-up computes them from the challenge you lost, and shows what actually broke the account. Free for the first 15 traders.

Get the free check-up

Get an email when prop rules change

FTMO, The5ers, FundedNext, FundingPips: when a daily or max loss rule changes, we update the tools and tell you.

How it works

Each simulated challenge starts at the initial balance. Every day the simulator places your average number of trades; each one wins with your win rate and pays your average R, or loses exactly the risk. After every trade it checks the prop's floors: today's daily floor (calculated as your firm does) and the max loss floor. Touching a floor ends the challenge; reaching the target ends the phase, and the next phase starts again from the initial balance. A challenge that is still running after the trading days you allow counts as "out of days".

Why does a lower risk sometimes pass less often?

Because with a small risk you need many more trades to reach the target, and each extra trade is another chance for a losing streak. The best risk is where these two forces balance, and it depends on your win rate and R:R.

Is this a prediction?

No. It shows what your numbers imply if they stay the same. Real trading has slippage, gaps, changing size and emotions: that is what the check-up looks for in your history.